Forecasting models that failed to predict the severity of rainfall, a lack of an adequate warning system and bad timing in part led to the disaster that left at least 59 people dead and more missing in Kerr County,

The state park has canceled all scheduled programs for July 4, including its annual parade. The park has been shut down due to flooding and is expected to reopen Sunday, July 6, depending on conditions. Refunds will be issued for those with reservations.

Before heading to bed before the Fourth of July holiday, Christopher Flowers checked the weather while staying at a friend’s house along the Guadalupe River. Nothing in the forecast alarmed him. Hours later,