Key recession signals include the Leading Economic Index, Consumer Confidence Index, plunging lumber prices, and freight ...

The headline numbers say the United States is still growing, yet daily life feels like a grind of higher prices, fragile jobs ...

In the past three months, economists have changed their outlook for the U.S. to slower growth, higher inflation and greater risk of recession. The changed consensus in The Wall Street Journal’s ...

Even with inflation easing, the tariff war paused and the labor force at full employment, the U.S. gross domestic product is expected to grow by only 1.6% for 2025 – more than 1 percentage point below ...

Real economic growth in the United States contracted 0.3% in the first quarter of 2025. Although that's an initial estimate, that's a remarkable development because it comes in the middle of a period ...

President Trump's wide-ranging tariffs have sent the stock market tumbling and recession fears soaring. As the dust settles and markets wait for more information on the result of the administration's ...

Diccon Hyatt is an experienced financial and economics reporter who has covered the pandemic-era economy in hundreds of stories over the past two years. He's written hundreds of stories breaking down ...

The economy contracted in the first quarter for the first time in three years, but it doesn't mean the economy is rushing toward a recession. At least not yet. Gross domestic product, the official ...

President Donald Trump has rarely passed up the opportunity to tell Americans that the U.S. economy, with his hand at the wheel, is roaring. His administration has held up GDP growth rates, high ...